Macro economic
All Posts
Daily Notes
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Mar 1, 2026
Two Months, Two Leadership Regimes — And Most Investors Missed the Shift
Commodities
Feb 26, 2026
Geopolitical probability is setting the price — not physical shortage
Framework and structure
+2
Feb 25, 2026
Building a Regime-Aligned Commodity Sleeve , Energy security. Monetary hedges. Real asset duration.
Feb 18, 2026
New oil and gas discoveries don’t guarantee energy security. They create options — and only systems determine whether those options become supply.
Why FX reserves can create a false sense of security — and why central banks still hold gold in a fragmented monetary system.
Macro
Six years above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target may be quietly reshaping expectations, behavior, and what the economy now considers “normal.”
Feb 15, 2026
How rising domestic demand, sanctioned barrels, and fragile supply elasticity quietly reshape the energy balance.